详细介绍:
170M6151 170L7299 现货
170M6151 170L7299 现货
In the process of economic development, Chinese is in the mid industrialization, various sectors of the national economy in pursuit of mechanization and automation is represent the general trend of machinery and demand, as the basic equipment of machine tool products are relatively strong in a longer period of time, but the strong level of demand will change with the fluctuation of macroeconomic situation.
2008 China's GDP growth rate declined compared to 2007, but is expected to remain in the range of 9.5%~10.5%. Due to prevent the economy from being overheated, the country to implement tight monetary policy, fixed asset investment growth will be lower than last year, which is bound to affect the user on the machine tool equipment investment, however, the machinery industry (machine tool main users) fixed asset investment growth will be higher than the national level.
In addition, the state's policy support for the machine tool industry will not only help the development of China's machine tool industry, but also to a certain extent, promote the prosperity of China's machine tool market. In such a macroeconomic background, in 2008 China's machine tool market will continue to maintain the upward trend, but the growth rate may decline.
From the main user industry, machine tool industry, the largest user of the automotive industry in 2008 will exceed 10 million, will continue to maintain the growth of the figure of two. The railway transport equipment industry in the speed and mileage of dual power driven, machine tool equipment will have more demand. In 2008, the aerospace industry to accelerate the development of the "Shenzhou seven" this year to launch domestic aircraft is going to mass production, large aircraft has been established, and military aircraft and helicopters and other projects will need a variety of machine tools of high performance nc. Shipbuilding industry is developing rapidly, China has become one of the world's shipbuilding powers, shipbuilding capacity in 2010 to reach 23 million tons this year, the industry will have relatively strong demand for machine tools. Although the metal processing capacity of the electronic information industry is not very large, but because of the rapid expansion of the scale, the demand for machine tools is also increasing.
In addition, metallurgical machinery, general machinery, engineering machinery, power generation equipment, mold and other traditional machinery manufacturing industry, also is the national policy under the guidance of the revitalization of the equipment industry, industrial upgrading, will further improve the technical level of the machine tool equipment. From the above the situation of the user industry, this year, China's machine tool consumption and output will continue to rise.
In 2008, the high-end machine tools and complete sets of line products mainly rely on imports of the situation can only be improved, but there will be no fundamental change, but this year the country is to encourage the import of high-grade machine tool discount loans. In addition, the international industrial transfer to Chinese trend continues, this year foreign direct investment to China manufacturing will be many, this will Chinese on machine tool consumption especially machine tool imports play a supporting role to the larger (foreign investment as imported equipment accounted for more than 50% of total imports of machine tools).
Thus, in 2008 China's imports of machine tools will remain at a high level, there will be no big ups and downs.
2008 world economic growth will slow down, which will affect the export of China's machine tools. This year, 1~2 China's machinery industry export delivery value growth rate fell 14.83 percentage points over the same period last year (an increase of 20.92%), is a clear signal. However, dispersion Chinese export of machine tools, the structure of export products is gradually improving, its comparative advantage is still obvious, so in 2008 China machine tool exports will grow, probably a few years before high-speed growth into normal growth.
Taking into account the above factors, the author of the four major indicators of China's machine tool market in 2008 to make the following forecast:
The amount of machine tool consumption growth in the U.S. dollar is unlikely to be as much as 20% last year, an increase of about 10%~20%, the specific amount is likely to reach or exceed $18 billion.
This China machine market still has relatively strong demand, the revitalization of the equipment manufacturing industry policy in support of the state, machine tool output value calculated in RMB growth is likely to exceed 20%, especially domestic CNC machine tool production will reach 150 thousand units.
Machine tool export growth rate dropped from nearly 40% in 2007 to more than 20% of the probability, but the export scale is still likely to reach $2 billion.
The machine tool imports in the above factors support, will continue to maintain a fairly high amount, but the domestic CNC machine tools (including foreign-invested enterprises in China products) the import substitution effect can not be ignored, so the imports this year will focus on the base of the expected volatility of the last year, the specific amount of about 6 billion 800 million ~75 billion dollars.
This machine will further upgrade the consumption structure of China, on high and mid-range CNC machine tools and lines into a set of equipment demand will continue to increase, while the ordinary and small machine tools demand growth will be slowing down, the market situation requires machine tool manufacturers to speed up the adjustment of product structure. The author believes that China's CNC machine tool production growth is not a key factor in the production of CNC machine tools to optimize the composition of China's domestic CNC machine tools to improve the overall quality of development is a priority. The character first, good in quickly.
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